For Shopify Subscription Brands

See churn before it happens.

Revenue-at-Risk Radar is built around a Churn Risk Matrix—subscribers grouped by lifetime value and churn risk—so you see who's at risk and how much they're worth before acting.

Risk / Value Matrix
Low Risk
Medium Risk
High Risk
High LTV ($500+)
347
412
389
Med LTV ($200–$499)
2,059
742
584
Low LTV (<$200)
44,716
21,240
9,365
Star = priority intervention target (High Risk + High LTV)

Predict churn at the subscriber level

We score each subscriber's risk from 1 to 100 and update on a daily basis based on thousands of signals. We use machine learning algorithms to understand pre-churn behaviors and risk factors specific to your store. Over time, the algorithm improves to specifically understand your customers behavior.

The Churn Risk Matrix: LTV × Risk

Using this risk score, you can create targeted interventions for at-risk customers. The priority intervention target is High Risk + High LTV. Different interventions can be applied based on the risk level and lifetime value of each customer. Click any cell to see individual customers and move from the matrix to lists and campaigns. These interventions can then be deployed across channels to reduce churn and retain more customers.

The way you see churn today is broken

You only find out about churn after the cancel or failed payment.

Dashboards give you rate, not reasons.

Discounts get sprayed everywhere, with no visibility into what's working.

Before

  • • Reactive churn management
  • • Generic discount campaigns
  • • No visibility into root causes
  • • Teams work in silos

After

  • • Daily risk scores (1–100) + Churn Risk Matrix
  • • Targeted actions by risk type
  • • Clear ownership and accountability
  • • Data-driven intervention strategy

We Listen to Many Signals Across Your Customer's Journey

Payment Failure Risk

Technical Risk

Why: expiring cards, prior declines, issuer quirks

Owner: Billing / RevOps

Action: smarter retries, payment method updates

Intent Risk

Behavioral Risk

Why: engagement & usage dropping

Owner: Lifecycle / Retention

Action: education, nudges, frequency adjustments

Value Mismatch Risk

Why: wrong cadence / wrong SKU / mismatched quantity

Owner: Merch / Product

Action: bundles, swaps, cadence reconfiguration

Price Sensitivity Risk

Why: promo dependence, price-reactive behavior

Owner: Marketing / Finance

Action: targeted incentives, non-monetary value adds

Operational Friction Risk

Why: shipping issues, inventory delays, CX friction

Owner: Ops / CX

Action: proactive comms, make-goods

Low-Quality Save Risk

Why: customers who only stay when discounted

Owner: Retention + Finance

Action: suppress saves, reallocate incentives

From Prediction to Action

1

Identify revenue at risk

The Churn Risk Matrix shows counts and segments by LTV × risk score.

2

Create targeted interventions

Different interventions by risk level and LTV; focus first on the priority cell (High Risk + High LTV).

3

Deploy across channels

Push segments into Klaviyo, subscription app, CX (and other channels) to reduce churn and retain more customers.

How This Pays for Itself

Reduce Churn

Customer level intelligence to drive targeted interventions.

Fewer Unnecessary Discounts

Maintain your margins and focus on customers worth saving.

Maximize LTV

Keep more high value subscribers and drive your bottom line.

Built for Your Team

For Billing Teams

See payment failure risk before cards expire. Prioritize retry sequences and payment method updates on subscribers with the highest save probability.

For Lifecycle Teams

Identify engagement drops early. Deploy education campaigns, usage nudges, and frequency adjustments to subscribers showing intent risk.

For Finance Leadership

Understand which revenue is truly at risk and which interventions deliver ROI. See your segment in the Churn Risk Matrix. Stop discounting customers who would have stayed anyway.

Stop guessing which subscribers will churn.

See your revenue at risk in a Churn Risk Matrix—by LTV, risk level, and cause—and know which ones to act on first.